Analyst Predicts 30% Decline for Under Armour, “No Fundamental Recovery in Sight”

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Susquehanna Financial Group Analyst Sam Poser has urged investors to sell Under Armour (UAA), predicting the share price will drop 30% in 2018; gains the company realized over the last 2 months. Poser believes the company’s decision to advertise with low-end retailers (i.e. KSS, DSW) is having an adverse effect on its efforts to sell product to “better retailers” (i.e. DKS, HIBB); insisting “there is no fundamental recovery in sight.” Stifel Analyst Jim Duffy has a contrary opinion, he’s pleased with the company’s recent cost savings initiatives and improved performance and foresees growth opportunities both internationally and within their footwear division.

Howie Long-Short: Following release of Poser’s note on Monday morning, shares declined 5.5%; closing at $15.11, the lowest the stock has been priced at since Summer ’13. Need a reason to believe UAA can turn it around? In June ’17, the company hired Patrik Frisk (former ALDO Group CEO) as President and COO. The 30-year industry veteran is considered an expert in preparing companies for a sale.

Fan Marino: Sloane Stephens, Under Armour’s long-time top female tennis endorser, has parted ways with the company and signed with Nike (NKE). Stephens, who signed with the brand as a teenager in 2010, won the 2017 U.S. Open wearing UAA tennis apparel. Financial terms of the deal were not disclosed.

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Papa John’s Blames NFL for “Polarizing Customer”, Pizza Hut Says NFL Has No Impact on Business

Papa John’s Pizza slashed full-year revenue and profit forecasts and blamed same store sales missing analyst estimates, on the company’s association with the NFL. PZZA CEO John Schnatter believes the political controversy that has engulfed the league this season has had a negative effect on ratings (down 7.5% from ‘16). Schnatter was quoted saying “NFL leadership has hurt Papa John’s shareholders. The controversy is polarizing the customer, polarizing the country.” PZZA shares are down 8% since the announcement. The company has pulled all advertising associated with the NFL.

Howie Long Short: Not all NFL sponsors feel the way Schnatter does. Kohl’s (KSS) is said to be working with the league on a holiday ad campaign, Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) recently went on the record stating that they do not anticipate any decline in key sales figures because of their relationship with the NFL and Pizza Hut (YUM) CEO Greg Creed said the company isn’t seeing any impact on their business. PZZA blaming poor sales on the NFL, is like the NFL blaming declining television ratings on hurricane coverage; perhaps it’s had a slight impact, but to place the sole blame there belies the fundamental issues with the business. The stock is down more than 26% this year.

Fan Marino: I always wonder why people in New York and New Jersey order from Domino’s (DPZ), Pizza Hut (YUM) or Pappa John’s (PZZA), when there are so many better local options. In NYC for a few days and not sure where to find the best slice? Barstool founder Dave Portnoy has a “pizza review” series to help you out. Here is a link to an episode he did with Bryce Harper.

Papa John’s Blames the NFL for Hurting Pizza Sales

Editor Note: The summary for this story was co-written by our friends at The Water Coolest. Check out TheWaterCoolest.com for the latest market news and professional advice.

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